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Active situation

Cyclone over Nepal

Active situation ·Cyclone

Active situation. Being tracked now. The figures are still moving.

Lhende Khola into the Bhote Koshi, near the Nepal–Tibet border ·26–27 August 2026 Ice-rock / glacier collapse, which blocked the river and then released

63 Indians rescued Media report 1 source, agreeing
at least93,000 People affected Official estimate IFRC, reported by UN News, 28 August 2026
at least17,000 Children affected Official estimate UNICEF, 27 August 2026
more than10,000 Households needing shelter Official estimate UN News, 28 August 2026

Why this keeps happening

0 Rain, 7 daysmm over the region 10/27 SatelliteTerra · 5.2% cloud 26 Publishersreporting it

Four readings this page holds, and where each one is explained. Every source behind them.

Where

Lhende Khola into the Bhote Koshi, near the Nepal–Tibet border — and the river it runs into. Positions are real coordinates; the extent of the event is not known.

The area the satellite frames cover Bhote Koshi — in the path downstream Trishuli — in the path downstream Gandak — in the path downstream Bihar — in the path downstream Lhende Khola into the Bhote Koshi, near the Nepal–Tibet border Lhende Khola into the Bhote Koshi Bhote Koshi Trishuli Gandak Bihar

Region named in the reportingDownstream, in the pathThe satellite frame

Frame 1,312 km wide. The marked point is Lhende Khola into the Bhote Koshi, near the Nepal–Tibet border — Rasuwagadhi. The Rasuwa Bhote Koshi becomes the Trishuli, then the Narayani, then the Gandak, which crosses into Bihar. NOT the Koshi: two different Nepali rivers are called the Bhote Koshi, and only the Sindhupalchok one feeds the Saptakoshi. The sources point the same way: a rescue from the Trishuli tunnel, a body recovered in the Narayani, supplied imagery of Manakamana, which sits above the Trishuli in Gorkha. Assam and north Bengal are the Brahmaputra and the Teesta, and are not downstream of this event.

  1. Where it started Lhende Khola into the Bhote Koshi, near the Nepal–Tibet border
  2. The river it entered Bhote Koshi
  3. Downstream Trishuli
  4. Downstream Narayani
  5. Reaches India Gandak
  6. Reaches India Bihar

Upstream of India — shared river system Nepal’s rivers drain into Bihar and eastern Uttar Pradesh. An outburst or a landslide dam on the Koshi, Gandak or Karnali becomes an Indian flood within days.

What the satellite sees

Close views of the affected valley, published by permission, and beneath them the public NASA frames.

Satellite view of a Himalayan river valley with terraced hillsides, settlements and a wide pale river channel
The valley
Satellite view of a steep mountainside covered by a large brown debris flow
The debris field

Manakamana, Gorkha, above the Trishuli. Reuters, via The Times of India.

The public NASA frames

The same region before the event, 2026-08-23
The same region after the event, 2026-10-27
Before · 2026-08-23 After · 2026-10-27

Drag to wipe. Same layer, same box, same satellite. Cloud 9.3% before, 5.2% after.

Frame 23.78–32.78°N, 80.27–90.49°E. The region reported, not a located site.

Higher resolution, at its publisher — linked, not reproduced

Before and after: satellite images show how Nepal’s green mountainside turned into a debris field The Times of India · 28 August 2026

Open the live comparison Zoom, re-date, or switch to radar.

NASA Worldview Snapshots. Public domain, courtesy of NASA EOSDIS GIBS.

The alarm for India

Nepal is not somebody else’s disaster. The triggers differ; the vulnerability is the same, and it is already measured.

Confirmed India impact

63 Indians rescued Media report DD News

What is already counted above India

The corridors this maps onto

This column is exposure, not an outcome. Nothing in it is a report that anything has happened in India. It is where the same hazard would arrive.

What happens next

Two horizons. A level only where a published threshold and a number exist to put something against — everything else is named as a watch, not graded.

Next 24–72 hours

Moderate More rain over the region Peak 36.9 mm in one day across the next 3, against IMD's heavy-rainfall threshold of 64.5 mm and very heavy at 115.5 mm.

The rainfall level is computed from a forecast model over a representative point — Open-Meteo forecast API, not a gauge at the event. The ungraded items are the mechanisms that follow this hazard. This page does not pretend to know their probability.

Data and sources

Everything this page is built from, counted by kind. Nothing here is quoted in this site’s own voice.

24 published reports
26 independent publishers
View all 24 sources

Reported

A headline is evidence that something was said. It is never evidence that it is true — which is why every figure at the top of this page carries the outlet that printed it and, where they disagree, all of them.

What is not established
  • Casualty and damage figures are not established here. Any number in the headlines below belongs to the outlet that printed it.
  • The mechanism is this page's reading of how the event was first reported, not a finding. Himalayan disasters are often reclassified once fieldwork is done.
  • The extent of the affected area has not been verified against satellite or official mapping.
  • Downstream consequences for India are a known mechanism for this hazard, not a confirmed outcome of this event.

Last changed 23:55 IST, 27 Oct 2026.

This is one event

The standing picture — how much extreme rain India actually gets, what IMD counts as extreme, who the rain kills, and what is changing across twelve cities — is on the situation page this belongs to.

India’s extreme rain

A gap is a gap

An empty day stays empty — a gap in the record is a gap in the record, never a zero.

Cite this page

Reuse freely — CC BY 4.0. Every figure carries its source and its cadence in how the number is made. If you quote a number from here, quote the kind with it. Each upstream source keeps its own terms.

This is what we are doing.
It is not enough.

The work against this reading

Mostly the written record, and going to look. Three of the essays on this site were reported out of flood years, and Gram Anubhav takes groups into villages living with this, run with over a hundred grassroots partners in the villages themselves.

And why it is not a reply

Publishing and going to see are not resilience. Swechha does not build drainage, and nothing here reduces the 3,594 deaths this page counts. What the work does is make the count harder to ignore — a smaller claim than it sounds, and the only one the evidence supports.

Understand the data

The whole library · the record · reuse this data

Explore the workFifteen pages, four kinds Who is SwechhaWorking since 2001, and who runs it Take partGive, volunteer or partner

Once a month, what these numbers did.

One email. What the six readings did that month, what moved and what did not, and what we did about it. Nothing else, ever — no appeals between digests, and your address is never shared with anybody.

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