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Heat

What is a heatwave?

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In India a heatwave is a formally defined event, declared by the India Meteorological Department when the maximum temperature at a station clears a zone-dependent floor and departs far enough from that station's own normal. It is a departure from local normal, not an absolute temperature — which is why 41°C can be a heatwave in one city and an ordinary May day in another.

Why the definition is relative

A single national temperature threshold would declare a heatwave in Rajasthan every summer and never declare one in Shillong.

Heat harms people relative to what they are adapted to. A population, a housing stock and a working day built around 45°C summers is not in the same danger at 44°C as a hill town at 32°C. IMD's criteria are built on that: a station has to be hot in absolute terms and unusually hot for itself.

So there are two gates. First a floor by zone — the plains, the coast and the hills each have their own. Then a departure from that station's own normal maximum for the date, or, separately, an absolute temperature high enough to qualify on its own regardless of departure.

IMD declares for a subdivision, not for a point, and requires the criteria to be met at two or more stations. A single hot grid point is not a declared heatwave, and this site is careful to describe its own figures as days meeting the criteria at a location rather than as IMD declarations.

Normal
The long-period average maximum temperature for that station on that date. The reference every departure is measured from.
Departure
How far above normal the day's maximum ran, in °C. The core of the criteria.
Subdivision
IMD's meteorological unit for declarations. Larger than a city, smaller than a state in most cases.

IMD's thresholds

Two ways to qualify. Either the departure route or the absolute route.

Floor — plains

40 °C

India Meteorological Department

Floor — coastal

37 °C

India Meteorological Department

Floor — hills

30 °C

India Meteorological Department

Departure — heatwave

4.5 °C above normal

India Meteorological Department

Departure — severe heatwave

6.5 °C above normal

India Meteorological Department

Absolute — heatwave regardless of departure

45 °C

India Meteorological Department

Absolute — severe regardless of departure

47 °C

India Meteorological Department

There is no legal limit here. Nobody can break a heatwave criterion — it is a definition, not a standard, and this is one of the places on this site where the reading is measured against a threshold that regulates nothing.

Heat, thirty-five years

How to read a heat figure

Almost every misreading of Indian heat data comes from one of three confusions.

Declared or qualifying? IMD declares for a subdivision on two or more stations. A dataset that counts days meeting the temperature criteria at single grid points — including this site's — is counting a related but different thing, and should say so.

Maximum or apparent temperature? The criteria use dry-bulb maximum. What a body experiences depends on humidity too, and a coastal 38°C at high humidity can be more dangerous than an inland 44°C. The criteria do not capture that.

Station-days or heatwave days? Summing qualifying days across fourteen stations gives station-days, which is not a national count of heatwave days. Those are different quantities and this site does not add them together.

What this number cannot tell you

  • It cannot tell you about night-time heat, which is the better predictor of mortality. A hot night gives a body no chance to recover.
  • It cannot account for humidity, and therefore cannot describe the coastal danger that dry-bulb temperature misses.
  • It cannot be compared internationally. Every meteorological agency defines a heatwave differently, and most define it relative to their own climatology.
  • It says nothing about exposure — who is outdoors, in what work, in what housing. That is what turns a temperature into a death.

Where this comes from

Every figure above is read out of one of these, at the address printed beside it.

Reuse freely — CC BY 4.0. The grant covers this page. Each source above keeps its own terms, which is why every one of them is named.

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